Bournemouth vs. Brighton Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 13 September 2025

On 13 September 2025, at 15:00, Bournemouth will face Brighton at Vitality Stadium in a Premier League clash.
Bournemouth, led by Andoni Iraola, is currently 7th in the Premier League standings with 6 points. Their recent 1-0 victory over Tottenham Hotspur, managed by Thomas Frank, highlights their potential to cause upsets. Bournemouth has shown strong home performances, making them the bookmaker’s favourite with odds of 2.41 for a win. They have seen solid defensive displays, boasting three clean sheets in their last five matches.
Brighton, managed by Fabian Hürzeler, occupies the 11th spot with 4 points. They’re coming off a huge morale boost, having defeated Manchester City 2-1 in their last league match. However, injuries to key players like Adam Webster and Solly March might pose challenges.
Given both teams’ recent inconsistencies, this matchup promises to be evenly contested. Our recommended bet is a draw, considering both sides have their strengths and weaknesses.
Referee Peter Bankes will oversee the action, and fans can expect an intriguing battle contributing to the broader narrative of the season.

Bournemouth vs Brighton Prediction & Betting tip

Betting Prediction | Bournemouth vs Brighton

Why this prediction is solid:

• Even Competition: Bournemouth have shown strong home performances, while Brighton recently defeated Manchester City, demonstrating both teams’ potential for upsets.
• Head-to-Head Record: Brighton has won four of their last five encounters against Bournemouth, indicating a tight contest.
• Recent Form: Although Bournemouth have solid defensive displays, both teams have shown inconsistencies, making a balanced outcome likely.

Bournemouth vs Brighton Odds

If you’re looking to place a bet on the Bournemouth vs Brighton clash, here are the betting odds for the match:

Bournemouth, the bookmaker’s favourite, has displayed resilience at home, defeating Tottenham Hotspur recently. Their odds of winning stand at 2.41.
Brighton’s odds to win are 2.82, reflecting their capability, highlighted by their recent upset over Manchester City.
The odds for a draw, however, might be the most intriguing at 3.49, particularly given both teams’ inconsistent form and the head-to-head record. This offers a balanced risk against potential return, considering the close contest expected at Vitality Stadium.

Bournemouth Team Analysis

Bournemouth Recent Performance LWLW

Bournemouth’s recent form (LWLW) typifies their inconsistent start to the season. They have secured 6 points from 4 matches, holding them at 7th in the Premier League table.
Their last five matches stand as follows:

• Bournemouth 0-0 Real Sociedad B (Friendly)
• Liverpool 4-2 Bournemouth (Premier League)
• Bournemouth 1-0 Wolverhampton (Premier League)
• Bournemouth 0-2 Brentford (EFL Cup)
• Tottenham 0-1 Bournemouth (Premier League)
  A critical aspect of Bournemouth’s form is their defensive resilience, evident from 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches. Despite a lower average of 0.8 goals scored per game, their robust defence mitigates the pressure, making them a difficult team to break down.
  With standout performances such as their surprise 1-0 victory over Tottenham, Bournemouth’s potential to cause upsets at Vitality Stadium cannot be overlooked.

Bournemouth Key Players

Bournemouth will be relying heavily on their key players to deliver a strong performance against Brighton. Antoine Semenyo, who tops the goal-scoring chart for Bournemouth with 2 goals, will be a crucial figure in their attack. His pace and finishing ability can pose significant problems for Brighton’s defenders.
The expected lineup for Bournemouth includes:

• Goalkeeper: Djordje Petrovic
• Defenders: James Hill, Bafode Diakite, Marcos Senesi, Adrien Truffert
• Midfielders: Ryan Christie, Tyler Adams, David Brooks, Marcus Tavernier, Antoine Semenyo
• Forward: Evanilson
  In midfield, Tyler Adams and Ryan Christie will play pivotal roles in ball distribution and breaking up opposition attacks. The defence, led by Marcos Senesi, will look to maintain their solid form, having kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 games.
  A key battle to watch will be between Semenyo and Brighton’s centre-back Lewis Dunk, who will aim to neutralize Bournemouth’s attacking threats.

Bournemouth Suspensions & Injuries

Bournemouth will be slightly hampered by injuries going into their clash with Brighton. Crucial players like Enes Unal and Adam Smith are sidelined, both nursing knee injuries, along with Lewis Cook, whose return remains doubtful.

• Enes Unal: Cruciate ligament injury – Potential return early October 2025
• Adam Smith: Hamstring injury – Potential return late September 2025
• Lewis Cook: Knee injury – Potential return doubtful
  These absences will impact Bournemouth’s depth, particularly in defence and midfield. Despite these challenges, Bournemouth’s recent form, especially their defensive solidity, suggests they can still put up a strong fight. Key players like Marcos Senesi and Tyler Adams will need to step up to fill the void left by these injuries.

Bournemouth Tactics and Formation

Bournemouth Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-1-4-1
• Key Forward: Evanilson
• Midfield Dynamics: Tyler Adams as the lynchpin defensive midfielder, with Marcus Tavernier and David Brooks pushing forward from the flanks.
• Defensive Solidity: With three clean sheets in their last five matches, their backline, marshalled by Marcos Senesi and Bafode Diakite, has been quite effective.
• Notable Strategy: Bournemouth often look to hit on the break, utilizing the pace of Antoine Semenyo and the creative passes of Ryan Christie to launch counter-attacks.
  This formation offers a balanced approach, allowing Bournemouth to stay compact in defence while having the flexibility to push forward quickly on the counter, especially during the 61-75 minute interval where they often focus their attacking efforts.

Brighton Team Analysis

Brighton Recent Performance

Brighton has had a mixed start to the season, registering 4 points from their opening four fixtures, placing them 11th in the Premier League standings. Their last five matches show varying results:

• Brighton 2-1 Wolfsburg (Friendly)
• Brighton 1-1 Fulham (Premier League)
• Everton 2-0 Brighton (Premier League)
• Oxford 0-6 Brighton (EFL Cup)
• Brighton 2-1 Manchester City (Premier League)
  Despite some inconsistencies, Brighton has demonstrated their attacking prowess with an average of 2.20 goals per game over their last five matches. However, defensively they have managed just one clean sheet in this period. Their last match, a 2-1 victory over Manchester City, will undoubtedly boost their confidence heading into their clash with Bournemouth.

Brighton Key Players

Brighton will look to key players to drive their performance against Bournemouth. Matthew O’Riley, their top scorer with 1 goal, will be pivotal in their attacking play, looking to exploit any defensive lapses.
The expected lineup for Brighton includes:

• Goalkeeper: Bart Verbruggen
• Defenders: Joel Veltman, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Maxim De Cuyper
• Midfielders: Jack Hinshelwood, Carlos Baleba, Yankuba Minteh, Georginio Rutter, Kaoru Mitoma
• Forward: Danny Welbeck
  In midfield, Jack Hinshelwood’s defensive discipline and Carlos Baleba’s box-to-box abilities will be crucial. The centre-back partnership of Lewis Dunk and Jan Paul van Hecke will be tested against Bournemouth’s attack, with Dunk needing to manage the threats posed by forwards like Evanilson and Semenyo.
  A notable individual battle will be between Brighton’s playmaker Georginio Rutter and Bournemouth’s defensive duo Marcos Senesi and Bafode Diakite.

Brighton Suspensions & Injuries

Brighton is facing several injury concerns heading into their match against Bournemouth, which could impact their squad depth and performance.

• Joel Veltman: Virus – Potential return in a few days
• Adam Webster: Knee injury – Potential return early January 2026
• Solly March: Knee injury – Potential return early October 2025
• Tom Watson: Lack of fitness – Potential return doubtful
• Mats Wieffer: Knee injury – Potential return doubtful
  The absence of crucial players like Adam Webster and Solly March could particularly weaken Brighton’s defence and attacking options. Joel Veltman’s likely return may bolster their defence, but overall, the team will need to adapt to cover these key absences effectively. This further underscores the challenges Brighton might face in maintaining consistency throughout the match.

Brighton Tactics and Formation

Brighton Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Danny Welbeck
• Midfield Dynamics: Defensive midfield duties will be shared by Jack Hinshelwood and Carlos Baleba, with the creative Georginio Rutter in the attacking midfield role, flanked by Yankuba Minteh and Kaoru Mitoma.
• Defensive Strategy: Joel Veltman’s return will solidify their defence, partnering with Jan Paul van Hecke and Lewis Dunk at the heart of the defence.
• Attacking Approach: Brighton focuses on using their wingers, Yankuba Minteh and Kaoru Mitoma, to stretch the opponent’s defence and create space for Danny Welbeck.
  Brighton will likely aim to dominate possession, using their tight defensive structure to absorb pressure and hit Bournemouth on the counter. Leveraging the pace and creativity of their midfield and wingers, they’ll seek to break down Bournemouth’s solid defensive line, especially in transition phases.

Bournemouth vs Brighton Head-to-Head Statistics

Reviewing the last five meetings between Bournemouth and Brighton, it’s clear that Brighton has had the upper hand.
Here’s how the matches played out:

• February 25, 2025: Brighton 2-1 Bournemouth
• November 23, 2024: Bournemouth 1-2 Brighton
• April 28, 2024: Bournemouth 3-0 Brighton
• September 24, 2023: Brighton 3-1 Bournemouth
• April 4, 2023: Bournemouth 0-2 Brighton
  Brighton has won four out of the last five encounters, underlining their dominance in the head-to-head matchups. Bournemouth’s solitary win came in April 2024, when they triumphed 3-0 at home.
  These statistics suggest a competitive edge for Brighton, although Bournemouth’s strong home performance should not be discounted. Expect an engaging and closely contested match at Vitality Stadium.

Odds accurate as of 09 November 2025 15:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.