Burnley vs. Liverpool Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 14 September 2025

Burnley and Liverpool face off at Turf Moor for what promises to be an intriguing Premier League encounter. League leaders Liverpool are looking to extend their perfect start to the season, with 9 points from 3 games, while Burnley, under Scott Parker’s guidance, aim to climb from their 14th place after securing 3 points from the same number of matches.

Liverpool’s firepower is reflected in their 3 goals per game average, led by recent signings Alexander Isak and Hugo Ekitike. Meanwhile, Burnley’s defence, compromised by injuries to key players like Zeki Amdouni and Connor Roberts, might struggle against a relentless Liverpool attack; the Reds have found the net in 37 consecutive Premier League matches.

Michael Oliver officiates this match, adding an experienced touch. With Liverpool having a strong record against Burnley, the recommended bet is indeed a Liverpool win. Don’t forget that Liverpool has scored first in all of their past meetings against Burnley in the last five seasons.

Burnley vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting tip

Recommended betting tip: Liverpool to win.
Liverpool is the heavy favourite for this clash at Turf Moor, reflected in the odds of 1.33 for a Liverpool victory. The Reds have a stellar record against Burnley, winning all recent encounters and consistently scoring first. Considering Burnley’s current injury woes and their less consistent form, the prediction leans towards a dominant Liverpool performance.

• Liverpool has scored in 37 consecutive Premier League matches.
• Burnley has only managed one clean sheet in their last five games.
• Liverpool has a perfect start to the season, while Burnley struggles at the 14th place.

These points highlight Liverpool’s consistency and scoring prowess, making an away win the most likely outcome.

Burnley vs Liverpool Odds

Burnley are massive underdogs heading into this Premier League clash at Turf Moor against the high-flying Liverpool. The bookmakers clearly favour the away team, with Liverpool having odds of 1.33 to win, compared to Burnley’s 8.68. A draw is also considered an unlikely outcome, with odds set at 5.41.

These odds are reflective of Liverpool’s current form and dominance in the league, as well as Burnley’s struggles and injury issues. With Liverpool having a prolific attack and a solid defensive line, they are rightly the favourites. Always double-check the latest odds before placing a bet, as they can change leading up to the match.

Burnley Team Analysis

Burnley Recent Performance

Burnley’s recent form has been a mixed bag. They have secured 3 points from their first three Premier League matches, leaving them in 14th position. Their last five games in all competitions show two wins, two losses, and one win in the EFL Cup — translating to a form pattern of LLWWL.

Recent Performance:

• Manchester United – Burnley 3-2 (Premier League)
• Burnley – Derby 2-1 (EFL Cup)
• Burnley – Sunderland 2-0 (Premier League)
• Tottenham – Burnley 3-0 (Premier League)
• Burnley – Lazio 0-1 (Club Friendlies)

In these five games, Burnley managed to keep just one clean sheet and scored an average of 1.20 goals per match. Injuries have plagued the side, with key players like Zeki Amdouni and Connor Roberts sidelined. The team under Scott Parker will need to up their game to secure a result against league leaders Liverpool.

Burnley Key Players

Burnley’s main attacking threat comes from Jaidon Anthony, who has netted twice this season. Anthony’s pace and dribbling ability make him a focal point in their offensive play.

In midfield, the presence of players like Josh Cullen and Lesley Ugochukwu provides balance, while Hannibal Mejbri’s creativity will be crucial in breaking down Liverpool’s solid defence.

Defensively, the experience of Kyle Walker and the solidity of Maxime Esteve and Hjalmar Ekdal will be pivotal in trying to contain Liverpool’s formidable attacking line-up.

Expected lineup for Burnley:

• Goalkeeper: Martin Dubravka
• Defenders: Kyle Walker, Maxime Esteve, Hjalmar Ekdal, Quilindschy Hartman
• Midfielders: Lesley Ugochukwu, Josh Cullen, Jacob Bruun Larsen, Hannibal Mejbri, Jaidon Anthony
• Forward: Lyle Foster

With key players like Zeki Amdouni and Connor Roberts injured, the team will need to dig deep to compensate for their absences.

Burnley Suspensions & Injuries

Burnley are grappling with several injury concerns that could significantly impact their performance against Liverpool. Zeki Amdouni is sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury and is expected to return only by mid-January 2026. Connor Roberts, suffering from a knee injury, might make a comeback later in September, but his availability for this match remains doubtful.

Additionally, Bashir Humphreys and Axel Tuanzebe are both doubtful due to thigh and muscle injuries, respectively, while Louis Jordan Beyer’s knee problem leaves his return date uncertain.

These injuries leave Scott Parker with limited options, particularly in defence, making it challenging to field a fully fit squad against a high-scoring Liverpool side. The absence of key players may expose Burnley’s vulnerabilities at the back, requiring a collective team effort to mitigate the impact.

Burnley Tactics and Formation

Scott Parker’s Burnley side is likely to set up in a flexible 4-2-3-1 formation for their clash against Liverpool. This formation allows them to strengthen their midfield while also providing support to their lone forward, Lyle Foster.

Burnley Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Lyle Foster
• Midfield Trio: Jacob Bruun Larsen, Hannibal Mejbri, Jaidon Anthony
• Defensive Setup: Kyle Walker, Maxime Esteve, Hjalmar Ekdal, Quilindschy Hartman
• Notable Strategy: Their game plan may revolve around maintaining a solid defensive structure, especially with key injuries in the squad, and quick transitions using the pace of Jaidon Anthony on the left wing.

Burnley’s tactic will involve absorbing Liverpool pressure and then hitting on the counter. The inclusion of experienced players like Kyle Walker in defence and Martin Dubravka in goal is aimed at providing stability and leadership on the pitch.

Liverpool Team Analysis

Liverpool Recent Performance

Liverpool are in imperious form, having secured 9 points from their first three league games, sitting at the top of the table. Their performances in the last five matches show a pattern of WLWWW, reflecting their consistency and attacking prowess.

Recent Performance:

• Liverpool – Arsenal 1-0 (Premier League)
• Newcastle – Liverpool 2-3 (Premier League)
• Liverpool – Bournemouth 4-2 (Premier League)
• Crystal Palace – Liverpool 2-2 [3-2 Pen.] (Community Shield)
• Liverpool – Athletic Club 3-2 (Club Friendlies)

Liverpool have averaged 3 goals per game in their last five matches, backing their potent offensive unit led by new signings Hugo Ekitike and Alexander Isak. Despite only one clean sheet in these fixtures, their scoring frequency overshadows defensive frailties. Arne Slot’s men are in formidable form, making them strong contenders for another win.

Liverpool Key Players

Liverpool’s attacking threat will revolve around Hugo Ekitike, who has already scored 2 goals this season and is expected to lead the line. Alongside him, Mohamed Salah and Cody Gakpo will look to exploit the flanks, providing both scoring and creative options.

New signing Alexander Isak, although yet to feature, adds depth and could make an impact off the bench. In midfield, Alexis Mac Allister and Ryan Gravenberch offer a blend of creativity and defensive solidity, essential for dictating the tempo against Burnley.

Defensively, Virgil van Dijk and Ibrahima Konate form a strong central pairing that will be key to neutralising Burnley’s attacking efforts. With Alisson Becker in goal, Liverpool have a reliable shot-stopper to guard against any Burnley surprises.

Expected lineup for Liverpool:

• Goalkeeper: Alisson
• Defenders: Dominik Szoboszlai, Virgil van Dijk, Ibrahima Konate, Milos Kerkez
• Midfielders: Alexis Mac Allister, Ryan Gravenberch, Florian Wirtz
• Forwards: Mohamed Salah, Hugo Ekitike, Cody Gakpo

This squad depth and quality put Liverpool in a strong position to dominate the match.

Liverpool Suspensions & Injuries

Liverpool are dealing with a few injury setbacks heading into the match against Burnley. Central defender Joel Matip is out for the season with a cruciate ligament injury, representing a significant loss for Liverpool’s defensive options. Additionally, young talents Stefan Bajcetic and Jeremie Frimpong are both doubtful due to hamstring injuries.

These absences could influence the squad’s depth and force coach Arne Slot to make some tactical adjustments. However, with Virgil van Dijk and Ibrahima Konate forming the central defense, Liverpool should still maintain a robust defensive lineup. In midfield and attack, Liverpool’s depth remains strong, providing many solutions despite these injuries.

Liverpool Tactics and Formation

Arne Slot’s Liverpool is expected to line up in a dynamic 4-2-3-1 formation, designed to control the game’s tempo and exploit spaces in the opposition’s half. This tactical setup leverages the Reds’ attacking depth and midfield creativity.

Liverpool Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Hugo Ekitike
• Attacking Trio: Mohamed Salah, Florian Wirtz, Cody Gakpo
• Defensive Setup: Dominik Szoboszlai, Virgil van Dijk, Ibrahima Konate, Milos Kerkez
• Notable Strategy: High pressing and quick transitional play, particularly effective in the 61-75-minute interval.

Liverpool’s game plan focuses on high pressing to regain possession quickly and exploiting the pace and skill of their wide players like Mohamed Salah and Cody Gakpo. With Alexis Mac Allister and Ryan Gravenberch orchestrating the midfield, Liverpool will aim to dominate possession and create frequent scoring opportunities. The experienced central defensive pairing of Virgil van Dijk and Ibrahima Konate ensures a sturdy backline, mitigating the absence of key injured players.

Burnley vs Liverpool Head-to-Head Statistics

Liverpool have a dominant record against Burnley over their last five meetings, having won every encounter. This historical advantage sets a compelling context for the upcoming match.

Last 5 Meetings:

• Liverpool – Burnley 3-1 (10 February 2024, Premier League)
• Burnley – Liverpool 0-2 (26 December 2023, Premier League)
• Burnley – Liverpool 0-1 (13 February 2022, Premier League)
• Liverpool – Burnley 2-0 (21 August 2021, Premier League)
• Burnley – Liverpool 0-3 (19 May 2021, Premier League)

Key points:

• Liverpool have not only won all five of these encounters but have also managed to keep a clean sheet in three of them.
• Burnley have struggled to score, managing just one goal in these five fixtures.
• Liverpool have consistently scored first in these clashes, underlining their early dominance.

These statistics highlight Liverpool’s strong performance against Burnley, making them clear favourites for the upcoming match.

Odds accurate as of 09.12.2025 14:02, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.