Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 14 September 2025

This LaLiga clash between Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano promises to be an intriguing encounter at the Estadio El Sadar. Taking place on 14 September 2025 at 17:30, it’s set to be a captivating display of football as both teams look to gain crucial points in the early stages of the season.

Osasuna, currently sitting in 13th place with 3 points, will be looking to bounce back after a narrow 1-0 defeat to Real Madrid. On the other side, Rayo Vallecano, in 10th place with 4 points, are coming off a solid 1-1 draw against Barcelona and strong performances in the Conference League Qualifiers.

Alessio Lisci’s Osasuna has shown defensive solidity with 2 clean sheets in their last 5 games. However, their goal-scoring record has been somewhat lacklustre, averaging just 0.80 goals per game. With key player Ante Budimir only having netted once so far, Osasuna might struggle to break Rayo’s disciplined defence.

Rayo Vallecano, under the guidance of Iñigo Pérez, have been more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.80 goals per game in their last 5 matches. Alvaro Garcia has also been pivotal, scoring once already this season.

Our match tip recommends betting on Rayo Vallecano to win with a ‘Draw No Bet’ option, given their recent strong away performances focusing on defence and counterattacking.

This match is not just about the three points; it’s about setting momentum for the rest of the season. Both teams will be keen to get the upper hand in this fixture, making it a must-watch for LaLiga enthusiasts.

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tip

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Rayo Vallecano to win Draw No Bet	2.92

Why this is a good prediction:

• Rayo Vallecano’s Resilience: Rayo have shown resilience in away matches, often staying organized defensively and exploiting counterattacking opportunities.
• Osasuna’s Inconsistency: While competitive at home, Osasuna can be inconsistent and may struggle to break down disciplined opponents.
• Minimized Risk: With the Draw No Bet option, the risk is minimized. If the match ends in a draw, the stake is returned, while a Rayo win secures the bet.

This betting tip leverages Rayo Vallecano’s strong defensive form and Osasuna’s struggles in finding the back of the net. This strategic approach makes it a value-driven choice for bettors.

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Odds

The odds for the upcoming match between Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano offer an intriguing insight into how the bookmakers view the game. While Osasuna is slightly favoured to win, the odds suggest a closely contested fixture.

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Osasuna to win	2.52
Draw	3.15
Rayo Vallecano to win	2.92

These odds reflect the competitive nature of the encounter. Osasuna has the home advantage and a solid defensive record, which partly explains their favourite status. However, Rayo Vallecano’s recent strong performances, especially away from home, make them competitive underdogs.

Given the tight odds, betting enthusiasts might find value in options that account for the close nature of the matchup, such as the Draw No Bet for Rayo Vallecano. This minimizes risk while still providing an opportunity for decent returns.

Osasuna Team Analysis

Osasuna Recent Performance

Osasuna’s recent run of form has been a mixed bag, reflecting inconsistency in their performance:

• Athletic Club 0-1 Osasuna (Club Friendlies)
• Espanyol 1-0 Osasuna (LaLiga)
• Osasuna 1-0 Valencia (LaLiga)
• Real Madrid 1-0 Osasuna (LaLiga)
• Freiburg 2-2 Osasuna (Club Friendlies)

Recent Form: DLWLW

Key Insights

• Goals Scored: Osasuna has averaged 0.80 goals per game in their last 5 outings.
• Defensive Strength: They’ve managed 2 clean sheets, highlighting their defensive capabilities.
• Top Scorer: Ante Budimir leads with 1 goal, indicating a need for more attacking threats.

While their defence has shown some resilience, Osasuna’s struggle to consistently find the back of the net remains a concern. They will need to step up their offensive game if they are to secure a positive result in their upcoming fixture against Rayo Vallecano.

Osasuna Key Players

Osasuna will rely heavily on their main attacking threat, Ante Budimir, who has netted their only goal this season. His aerial prowess and physical presence will be pivotal in breaking down Rayo Vallecano’s defence.

In midfield, the likes of Lucas Torro and Aimar Oroz will be essential in both shielding the defence and creating opportunities. Their ability to control the tempo could be a determining factor in the match.

Defensively, the trio of Flavien Boyomo, Alejandro Catena, and Juan Cruz will aim to maintain their solidity, having already kept 2 clean sheets in the last 5 matches.

Expected lineup for Osasuna:

• Goalkeeper: Sergio Herrera
• Defenders: Flavien Boyomo, Alejandro Catena, Juan Cruz
• Midfielders: Jon Moncayola, Lucas Torro, Aimar Oroz, Abel Bretones
• Attackers: Ruben Garcia, Ante Budimir, Víctor Muñoz

Key individual battles to watch include Budimir against Rayo’s central defenders, and Torro’s midfield duel with Rayo’s Pathe Ciss and Unai Lopez.

Osasuna Suspensions & Injuries

Osasuna heads into the match with a couple of injury concerns that could impact their performance. Moi Gomez is doubtful due to a muscle injury, and Valentin Rosier is dealing with an ankle injury, also putting his participation in doubt. The absence of these players might limit Osasuna’s options in midfield and defence.

Moi Gomez’s creativity and ability to control the game from the middle of the park could be missed, especially in forward transitions. Similarly, Rosier’s defensive capabilities would be crucial in keeping Rayo Vallecano at bay.

While there are no suspensions to contend with, the injuries mean that the remaining squad members will need to step up and fill these gaps effectively to ensure a robust performance.

Osasuna Tactics and Formation

Osasuna Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Primarily using a 3-4-2-1 setup
• Key Forward: Ante Budimir
• Midfield Engine: Lucas Torro and Aimar Oroz
• Defensive Solidity: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Attacking Strategy: reliant on strong wing play and set pieces

Osasuna’s strategy centres around a solid defensive base, typically deploying three central defenders and two wing-backs to provide width. In midfield, Torro and Oroz are crucial for ball recovery and transition play. Up front, Budimir is the target man, aiming to capitalise on crosses and through balls.

Given their consistent defensive performances, Osasuna will likely focus on maintaining a compact shape to frustrate Rayo Vallecano, while looking to exploit set pieces and counterattacks to find the net.

Rayo Vallecano Team Analysis

Rayo Vallecano Recent Performance

Rayo Vallecano come into this match riding a wave of strong performances, showcasing their ability to compete at a high level:

• Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Barcelona (LaLiga)
• Rayo Vallecano 4-0 Neman Grodno (Conference League Qualification)
• Athletic Club 1-0 Rayo Vallecano (LaLiga)
• Neman Grodno 0-1 Rayo Vallecano (Conference League Qualification)
• Girona 1-3 Rayo Vallecano (LaLiga)

Recent Form: WWLWD

Key Insights

• Goals Scored: Rayo has been prolific, averaging 1.80 goals per game in their last 5 outings.
• Defensive Solidity: They’ve secured 2 clean sheets, demonstrating their defensive strength.
• Top Scorer: Alvaro Garcia with 1 goal, who has been essential in their attacking plays.

Rayo Vallecano’s impressive form, with strong results both domestically and in Europe, positions them as a formidable challenge for Osasuna. Their balanced approach between offensive and defensive phases has made them tough to beat.

Rayo Vallecano Key Players

Rayo Vallecano will be banking on the attacking prowess of Alvaro Garcia, their top scorer so far. Garcia’s speed and tactical acumen make him a constant threat on the left wing and a key player to watch.

Midfield dynamo Unai Lopez will be pulling the strings from the centre, ensuring smooth transitions and fending off the challenges from Osasuna’s midfield. His partnership with Pathe Ciss could be pivotal in controlling the game’s tempo.

On the defensive front, Florian Lejeune brings invaluable experience and leadership as the central defender, aiming to thwart Osasuna’s attackers like Ante Budimir.

Expected lineup for Rayo Vallecano:

• Goalkeeper: Augusto Batalla
• Defenders: Andrei Florin Rațiu, Florian Lejeune, Luiz Felipe, Pep Chavarria
• Midfielders: Isi Palazon, Pathe Ciss, Unai López Cabrera, Álvaro García Rivera
• Attackers: Pedro Díaz Fanjul, Jorge de Frutos

Key individual battles to watch will be Ante Budimir vs Florian Lejeune and the midfield clash involving Lucas Torro and Unai Lopez.

Rayo Vallecano Suspensions & Injuries

Rayo Vallecano will be missing a couple of players heading into their clash against Osasuna.

Khalid Abdul Mumin is sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury, and his return is not expected until late September 2025. His absence weakens their defensive options, making it crucial for other defenders to step up.

Additionally, Nobel Mendy is just returning to training after an unknown injury. While he’s back on the pitch, it’s uncertain if he’ll be fully match-fit or ready for competitive action.

These injury concerns might affect Rayo’s defensive solidity and depth, making it essential for their existing squad members to perform at a high level to maintain their current strong form. Fortunately, there are no suspensions to further complicate their lineup decisions.

Rayo Vallecano Tactics and Formation

Rayo Vallecano Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Predominantly employing a 4-2-3-1 setup
• Key Forward: Jorge de Frutos
• Midfield Trio: Pathe Ciss, Unai López Cabrera, Álvaro García Rivera
• Defensive Solidity: Two clean sheets in the last five games

Rayo Vallecano’s strategy focuses on solid defensive organization paired with quick, effective counterattacks. The formation typically sees Jorge de Frutos as the focal point in attack, supported by dynamic wingers like Alvaro Garcia.

In midfield, Pathe Ciss and Unai López Cabrera form a strong double pivot, tasked with breaking up opposition play and initiating forward moves. The defensive unit, led by central defenders Florian Lejeune and Luiz Felipe, relies on maintaining a compact shape to frustrate opponents.

Rayo’s approach includes utilising the pace and creativity of their wingers in transition, often creating scoring opportunities through quick breaks and incisive passing.

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head Statistics

When it comes to head-to-head matches, Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano have had some tightly contested encounters in recent times. Here’s a look at their last five meetings:

• Osasuna 1-1 Rayo Vallecano (19 January 2025) – LaLiga
• Rayo Vallecano 3-1 Osasuna (16 September 2024) – LaLiga
• Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Osasuna (20 April 2024) – LaLiga
• Osasuna 1-0 Rayo Vallecano (15 December 2023) – LaLiga
• Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Osasuna (14 April 2023) – LaLiga

Key Insights

• Osasuna’s Home Form: Last time they hosted Rayo Vallecano, the match ended in a 1-1 draw.
• Rayo Vallecano’s Advantage: Rayo has won three of the last five encounters.
• Osasuna’s Historical Lead: Osasuna has scored first in 75% of their last 8 matches against Rayo.

The historical data suggests a competitive game with both teams having moments of dominance, making this fixture highly unpredictable and exciting for fans.

Odds accurate as of 12/09/2025 17:33, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.