Grêmio vs. Mirassol Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips, 13 September 2025

Get ready for an engaging encounter as Grêmio, sitting 13th in the Serie A table, takes on 6th-placed Mirassol on 13th September 2025 at 20:00 in what promises to be a pivotal clash for both teams.

Grêmio welcomes new midfielder signing Arthur, who is expected to feature prominently under coach Mano Menezes. Unfortunately, injuries plague the home team, with significant absences including Rodrigo Ely and Mathías Villasanti out for the season.

On the other hand, Mirassol has been in stellar form, with a surprising climb in the league standings. Bolstered by top scorer Reinaldo’s performances, they come into the match with significant confidence. The team’s robust away form enhances their favorability in securing a victory.

Given Grêmio’s struggles both in terms of form and injuries, and Mirassol’s impressive season, the recommended bet is for Mirassol to win the match. Historical performance also favors Mirassol, having beaten Grêmio in previous encounters convincingly. This match carries significant weight as both teams vie for crucial points midway through the Serie A season.

Grêmio vs Mirassol Prediction & Betting Tip

• The recommended betting tip for this match is for Mirassol to win.

Grêmio vs Mirassol Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Mirassol to win	3.28

Here’s why this prediction makes sense:

• Mirassol are in better form, sitting at 6th place compared to Grêmio’s 13th position, showcasing a stronger overall performance.
• Grêmio struggles with scoring and is plagued with injuries, affecting their defensive strength and consistency.
• Historical head-to-head results favor Mirassol, who have convincingly won their recent encounters with Grêmio.

Given these factors, opting for a Mirassol win offers substantial value, aligning well with their current performance metrics and recent form.

Grêmio vs Mirassol Odds

This upcoming Serie A match presents intriguing betting opportunities for punters. The bookmaker favorite is Grêmio, despite their lower league position and injury concerns. This suggests a potential value bet for Mirassol, who have shown better form.

Grêmio vs Mirassol Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Grêmio to win	2.25
Draw	3.10
Mirassol to win	3.28

The odds reflect the current form and recent performances of both teams. Grêmio, despite playing at home, face an uphill battle due to several key injuries and a less than stellar recent record. Mirassol, on the other hand, have been impressive this season, making the 3.28 odds for their win quite enticing.

Factor in the head-to-head results, where Mirassol have outperformed Grêmio recently, and these odds provide significant value for bettors seeking a potentially lucrative return.

Grêmio Team Analysis

Grêmio Recent Performance

Grêmio’s recent performances have been a mixed bag, characterized by their LLWDD form. In their last five matches, they managed only one victory, a commendable 3-1 away win against Atlético MG, while securing two draws against Flamengo and Ceará. However, the draws and losses highlight their inconsistencies, especially at home.

• Recent Matches:
  • Flamengo 1-1 Grêmio (31 Aug 2025)
  • Grêmio 0-0 Ceará (24 Aug 2025)
  • Atlético MG 1-3 Grêmio (17 Aug 2025)
  • Grêmio 0-1 Sport Recife (10 Aug 2025)
  • Fluminense 1-0 Grêmio (3 Aug 2025)

Grêmio has struggled offensively, scoring an average of just 0.80 goals per game in their last five matches. Defensively, they’ve kept only one clean sheet during this stretch. Injuries have further hindered their consistency.

Given these factors, Grêmio’s performance is currently not up to par, making it crucial for them to step up if they wish to climb from their 13th place in the Serie A table.

Grêmio Key Players

Grêmio will be looking for inspiration from key players like Martin Braithwaite, who is their top scorer with 6 goals this season. Despite their recent struggles, Braithwaite’s clinical finishing will be crucial against Mirassol’s solid defense.

New signing Arthur is expected to make an immediate impact in midfield, bringing European experience and tactical intelligence. His partnership with Gustavo Cuéllar in central midfield could be key in breaking down Mirassol’s attacks and initiating forward plays.

Manager Mano Menezes will likely deploy the following expected lineup:

• Goalkeeper: Tiago Volpi
• Defenders: Marcos Rocha, Walter Kannemann, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon
• Midfielders: Dodi, Gustavo Cuéllar, Cristian Olivera, Edenilson
• Forwards: Carlos Vinícius, Martin Braithwaite

Key battles to watch include Braithwaite against Mirassol’s Jemmes, and the midfield clash between Arthur and Neto Moura, which could determine the flow of the game.

Grêmio Suspensions & Injuries

Grêmio heads into this match with a significant injury list which could heavily influence their performance. Notable absentees include Rodrigo Ely and Mathías Villasanti, both out for the season with cruciate ligament injuries. Other key players such as Fabian Balbuena (broken ankle) and Miguel Monsalve (dislocated shoulder) are also sidelined, weakening both their defense and midfield options.

Additionally, Gustavo Martins and Joao Lucas are nursing thigh and muscle injuries, respectively, and are doubtful for this fixture. These injuries have put a strain on Mano Menezes’ squad depth, potentially impacting their ability to field a cohesive and competitive team. These defensive setbacks, combined with their struggle in offensive consistency, highlight a challenging game ahead for Grêmio against a strong Mirassol side.

Grêmio Tactics and Formation

Grêmio Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Martin Braithwaite
• Midfield Duo: Dodi, Gustavo Cuéllar
• Defensive Concerns: Only one clean sheet in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Using the wings effectively for overlapping runs

Under coach Mano Menezes, Grêmio is expected to deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation. This setup positions Martin Braithwaite as the focal point in attack, supported by wingers Carlos Vinícius and Cristian Olivera. The midfield double-pivot of Dodi and Gustavo Cuéllar aims to provide both defensive stability and ball progression.

Defensively, Grêmio faces challenges with a depleted backline due to injuries, impacting their ability to maintain clean sheets. The team will look to capitalize on wing play, utilizing Marcos Rocha and Marlon for overlapping runs to stretch Mirassol’s defense. With these tactical elements, Grêmio will need a disciplined and cohesive performance to counter Mirassol’s attacking threat.

Mirassol Team Analysis

Mirassol Recent Performance

Mirassol has been in stellar form recently, as evidenced by their WLDWW sequence. They’ve secured important victories over Bahia (5-1) and Fortaleza (1-0) and managed an impressive draw against Cruzeiro. These results showcase their solid attacking prowess and resilient defense.

• Recent Matches:
  • Mirassol 5-1 Bahia (31 Aug 2025)
  • Fortaleza 0-1 Mirassol (24 Aug 2025)
  • Mirassol 1-1 Cruzeiro (18 Aug 2025)
  • Flamengo 2-1 Mirassol (9 Aug 2025)
  • Mirassol 3-2 Vasco da Gama (2 Aug 2025)

On average, Mirassol has netted 2.20 goals per game in their last five matches and maintained one clean sheet during this period. Their attacking unit, led by top scorer Reinaldo, has been efficient, and their 6th place on the table reflects their strong campaign so far. This form positions them as a formidable opponent against Grêmio.

Mirassol Key Players

Mirassol will be relying heavily on their top scorer Reinaldo, who has netted 7 goals this season. His effectiveness in front of goal will be crucial in breaking through Grêmio’s injury-hit defense. Supporting him in attack will be the versatile Edson Carioca and Francisco Da Costa Chico, who are integral to Mirassol’s forward momentum.

Midfield dynamo Neto Moura is expected to play a pivotal role, maintaining control and linking play between defense and attack. His battle with Grêmio’s Arthur in the midfield could be a defining factor in the match’s outcome.

Expected lineup for Mirassol:

• Goalkeeper: Walter
• Defenders: Lucas Ramon, João Victor, Jemmes, Reinaldo
• Midfielders: Danielzinho, Neto Moura, Jose Aldo
• Forwards: Negueba, Francisco Da Costa Chico, Edson Carioca

These players’ performances will significantly dictate Mirassol’s success and their ability to secure an away victory.

Mirassol Suspensions & Injuries

Mirassol faces the upcoming match with a few injury concerns, though they are relatively minor compared to Grêmio.

Key player Matheus Sales remains out with an unspecified injury but is expected back mid-September. Gabriel is nursing a muscle injury, making his participation in this match doubtful. Additionally, Roni is recovering from a thigh injury but could return around mid-September.

Here’s how these injuries might impact the team:

• Matheus Sales’ absence: Reduces midfield depth, forcing changes in strategy and personnel.
• Gabriel’s muscle injury: His doubtful status could weaken defensive options.
• Roni’s thigh injury: Limits attacking flexibility and depth in the lineup.

Despite these setbacks, Mirassol’s recent form suggests they are well-equipped to adapt and remain competitive for their clash against Grêmio.

Mirassol Tactics and Formation

Mirassol Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Reinaldo
• Midfield Trio: Danielzinho, Neto Moura, Jose Aldo
• Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Utilizing fast counter-attacks and efficient wing play

Mirassol is likely to line up in a 4-3-3 formation, with Reinaldo spearheading the attack as the key forward. Their midfield trio of Danielzinho, Neto Moura, and Jose Aldo will be essential in both ball control and transitioning from defense to attack.

The team has shown defensive solidity by maintaining one clean sheet in their last five games and conceding only 1.1 goals on average this season. Mirassol’s notable strategy includes quick counter-attacks and effective use of the wings, which could exploit Grêmio’s injury-affected defense. This tactical approach, combined with their recent form and attacking prowess, positions them well for the upcoming clash against Grêmio.

Grêmio vs Mirassol Head-to-Head Statistics

In the recent head-to-head encounters, Mirassol has had the upper hand over Grêmio. Across their last two meetings, Mirassol emerged victorious both times, highlighting their efficiency against the Porto Alegre side.

• 2025-04-16: Mirassol 4-1 Grêmio (Serie A)
• 2022-03-02: Mirassol 3-2 Grêmio (Cup)

These results underscore Mirassol’s ability to perform well and score freely against Grêmio’s defense.

In their most recent meeting earlier this year, Mirassol secured a convincing 4-1 home victory. This victory, combined with their overall impressive season performance, positions them as strong contenders for this fixture.

Given the historical edge and the current form, Grêmio will need to be extra vigilant to overturn this trend and secure a positive result.

Odds accurate as of 09.11.2025 20:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.