Freiburg vs. VfB Stuttgart Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips, 13 September 2025

The Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and VfB Stuttgart set for 13 September 2025 at Europa-Park Stadion promises to be an intriguing regional derby. With Freiburg perched at the bottom of the table and Stuttgart sitting in a more comfortable 8th position, the stakes are high for the home side as they seek their first points of the season.

Freiburg’s inconsistent form, highlighted by their 0 points from two Bundesliga matches, contrasts sharply with Stuttgart’s recent momentum. Freiburg coach Julian Schuster will be eager to secure a much-needed win at home, though they’ll miss Daniel-Kofi Kyereh due to a knee injury. Meanwhile, VfB Stuttgart’s Angelo Stiller, who recently declined a move to Manchester United to focus on his development, remains a key figure in their midfield.

BETSiE’s advanced algorithms predict a win for Freiburg, despite Stuttgart being the bookmaker’s favourite. Statistically, more than 2.5 goals have been scored in 75% of their matchups over the past five seasons, suggesting an exciting encounter.

Match tips: The recommended bet is for VfB Stuttgart to win, considering their superior form and strategic prowess. Don’t miss this exciting regional derby in the Bundesliga!

Freiburg vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction & Betting tip

• Stuttgart’s direct approach and high-intensity pressing can disrupt Freiburg’s structured buildup play.
• The guests have shown better momentum in their recent games, highlighted by an impressive scoring record.
• Freiburg’s recent defensive struggles make it likely that Stuttgart can exploit gaps and convert opportunities.

Given these factors, the bet on VfB Stuttgart to win is well-grounded. Stuttgart’s efficient attack and Freiburg’s current struggle for form contribute to the higher likelihood of an away victory in this regional derby.

Freiburg vs VfB Stuttgart Odds

The upcoming Bundesliga encounter between Freiburg and VfB Stuttgart features an interesting set of betting odds. According to bookmakers, Stuttgart is the favourite to win, reflecting their strong recent form and Freiburg’s struggles. Here’s a snapshot of the odds for various outcomes:

Freiburg, despite being at home, offers higher odds for a win, signalling their underdog status partially due to their current position at the bottom of the table. On the contrary, Stuttgart’s odds indicate a higher probability of victory, attributable to their scoring prowess and recent gameplay effectiveness.

Punters might find value in these odds, especially with Stuttgart’s proven ability to exploit defensive gaps. The draw also presents an enticing option for those predicting a closely fought match.

Freiburg Team Analysis

Freiburg Recent Performance

Freiburg’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five matches showing a pattern of wins, losses, and draws: DWLLW. They managed to secure victories against Sportfreunde Lotte in the DFB Pokal and FC Luzern in a friendly, but their Bundesliga campaign has been challenging.

Despite scoring an average of 2 goals per game in their last five outings, Freiburg has struggled defensively, keeping only one clean sheet. Their two Bundesliga defeats came against Augsburg and FC Koln, where they conceded a combined seven goals, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

With key player Vincenzo Grifo leading their attack, Freiburg aims to turn their form around. However, missing Daniel-Kofi Kyereh due to a knee injury could impact their performance. A tighter defense and capitalizing on scoring opportunities will be crucial for Freiburg to climb up from the bottom of the Bundesliga standings.

Freiburg Key Players

In this crucial clash, Freiburg will rely heavily on their top scorer Vincenzo Grifo, who has already notched up a goal this season. Grifo’s talents on the left wing will be vital in creating scoring opportunities and breaking down Stuttgart’s defense. Alongside him, Lucas Höler will lead the attacking line, aiming to capitalize on any chances that come his way.

In midfield, Maximilian Eggestein and Patrick Osterhage will need to anchor the team’s efforts both defensively and offensively, while the experienced Matthias Ginter will be key to tightening up the defense, partnering with Philipp Lienhart to keep Stuttgart’s potent attackers at bay.

Expected lineup for Freiburg:

• Goalkeeper: Noah Atubolu
• Defenders: Lukas Kübler, Matthias Ginter, Philipp Lienhart, Christian Günter
• Midfielders: Maximilian Eggestein, Patrick Osterhage, Jan-Niklas Beste, Johan Manzambi
• Attackers: Vincenzo Grifo, Lucas Höler

With the absence of Daniel-Kofi Kyereh due to a knee injury, the remaining key players will need to step up to keep Freiburg competitive in this regional derby.

Freiburg Suspensions & Injuries

Freiburg is currently contending with a notable absentee ahead of their clash with VfB Stuttgart. Daniel-Kofi Kyereh is out due to knee surgery, with a potential return slated for late September 2025. His absence is a significant blow to Freiburg, as the attacking midfielder plays a crucial role in linking play between the midfield and the forward line.

Without Kyereh, Freiburg will need to rely more on their other key midfielders, such as Maximilian Eggestein and Patrick Osterhage, to fill the creative void. The team will need to adapt both their attacking strategies and defensive setups to mitigate Kyereh’s absence. These adjustments will be key as they look to secure their first points of the season in this important regional derby.

Freiburg Tactics and Formation

Freiburg Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Lucas Höler
• Midfield Duo: Maximilian Eggestein, Patrick Osterhage
• Defensive Backbone: Matthias Ginter and Philipp Lienhart
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on balanced play, quick transitions, and exploiting wide areas.

Freiburg will likely stick to their 4-2-3-1 formation, aiming to balance their offensive and defensive responsibilities. The forward line will be spearheaded by Lucas Höler, with Vincenzo Grifo and Jan-Niklas Beste providing width and creativity from the wings.

Maximilian Eggestein and Patrick Osterhage are expected to anchor the midfield, ensuring both protection for the backline and support for the attackers. At the back, the experienced Matthias Ginter will be crucial in organizing the defense alongside Philipp Lienhart.

Julian Schuster will focus on quick transitions and exploiting wide areas to break down Stuttgart’s defense while maintaining a solid structure to counter Stuttgart’s high-intensity pressing.

VfB Stuttgart Team Analysis

VfB Stuttgart Recent Performance

VfB Stuttgart’s recent form spells promise, with their last five matches showing three victories and two losses: LLWWW. Despite a couple of setbacks in the Bundesliga against Bayern Munich and Union Berlin, Stuttgart has bounced back with strong performances, most notably a 6-2 thrashing of Sonnenhof Grossaspach in a club friendly and a narrow 1-0 win over Borussia Moenchengladbach.

Their attacking prowess is evident, scoring an average of 4.2 goals per game in their last five outings. Stuttgart has managed one clean sheet, indicating a need for better defensive solidity, but their aggressive, high-scoring approach has paid dividends overall.

Midfielder Angelo Stiller remains a linchpin, having recently declined a move to Manchester United to ensure regular playing time. Despite some injury concerns, Stuttgart enters the derby against Freiburg with momentum on their side, aiming for another positive result.

VfB Stuttgart Key Players

VfB Stuttgart will be looking to their key players to secure a victory in this regional derby against Freiburg. Midfielder Angelo Stiller, who recently turned down an offer from Manchester United to focus on regular playing time and his development, will be essential in controlling the midfield and creating opportunities. Stiller has already shown his importance with his vision and passing accuracy.

Up front, Tiago Tomas, Stuttgart’s top scorer with one goal so far this season, will lead the attack. Despite having an illness, Tomas is expected to be fit for the match, providing a crucial goal-scoring threat.

In defense, Josha Vagnoman and Finn Jeltsch will be important in fending off Freiburg’s attacking threats, while goalkeeper Alexander Nubel will aim to increase the team’s current record of one clean sheet in their last five games.

Expected lineup for VfB Stuttgart:

• Goalkeeper: Alexander Nubel
• Defenders: Josha Vagnoman, Finn Jeltsch, Ramon Hendriks, Maximilian Mittelstädt
• Midfielders: Atakan Karazor, Angelo Stiller, Jamie Leweling, Bilal El Khannouss, Chris Führich
• Forward: Ermedin Demirovic

VfB Stuttgart Suspensions & Injuries

VfB Stuttgart heads into this match with a few notable injury concerns. Key striker Tiago Tomas is currently dealing with an illness but is expected to recover in time for the match. However, the team will definitely miss the services of Silas Katompa Mvumpa, who is out with an ankle injury, Justin Diehl (muscle injury), Deniz Undav (medial collateral ligament injury), and goalkeeper Fabian Bredlow, who is recovering from a knee injury.

These absences could impact Stuttgart’s depth and force coach Sebastian Hoeneß to rely on squad rotation. The injuries to their forwards and midfielders might necessitate tactical adjustments to maintain their offensive momentum and balance the squad’s overall performance.

VfB Stuttgart Tactics and Formation

VfB Stuttgart Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Ermedin Demirovic
• Midfield Linchpin: Angelo Stiller
• Defensive Duo: Finn Jeltsch and Ramon Hendriks
• Notable Strategy: High-intensity pressing and quick transitions

Stuttgart is likely to maintain their 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on high pressing and rapid transitions. Ermedin Demirovic will spearhead the attack, supported by a creative midfield trio consisting of Angelo Stiller, Bilal El Khannouss, and Chris Führich. Their ability to disrupt Freiburg’s buildup play and exploit gaps will be crucial.

Atakan Karazor and Stiller will anchor the midfield, providing both defensive cover and forward thrust. Defensively, the duo of Finn Jeltsch and Ramon Hendriks will be pivotal in maintaining solidity, with Josha Vagnoman and Maximilian Mittelstädt tasked with both defending and aiding the attack from their full-back positions. This tactical approach will aim to capitalize on Freiburg’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Freiburg vs VfB Stuttgart Head-to-Head Statistics

The head-to-head statistics between Freiburg and VfB Stuttgart paint a vivid picture of their competitive encounters. Over their last five meetings, it’s clear that Stuttgart holds the upper hand with three victories compared to Freiburg’s two:

• VfB Stuttgart 4-0 Freiburg on 18 January 2025 (Bundesliga)
• Freiburg 3-1 VfB Stuttgart on 24 August 2024 (Bundesliga)
• Freiburg 1-3 VfB Stuttgart on 3 February 2024 (Bundesliga)
• VfB Stuttgart 5-0 Freiburg on 2 September 2023 (Bundesliga)
• Freiburg 2-1 VfB Stuttgart on 11 February 2023 (Bundesliga)

Notably, more than 2.5 goals were scored in 75% of these encounters, hinting at a potentially high-scoring game. Stuttgart has demonstrated a consistent ability to score, reflected in their recent goal-scoring streak, while Freiburg has managed to find the back of the net in each of their 11 consecutive tournament matches. This adds an extra layer of excitement as both teams face off again.

Odds accurate as of 09.11.2025 14:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.