FBC Melgar vs. Universitario de Deportes Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 14 September 2025

In this eagerly anticipated clash in the Primera Division, FBC Melgar will face off against league leaders Universitario de Deportes. Although the bookmakers favour Melgar with odds of 2.26, they sit in 8th position with 9 points, while Universitario comfortably top the table with 15 points. This match is crucial for both sides: Melgar aims to climb the standings, whereas Universitario wants to maintain their momentum.

Despite Melgar’s recent draw-heavy form, they have shown resilience, drawing 2-2 against Asociación Deportiva Tarma and securing a win over Ayacucho FC. In contrast, Universitario has demonstrated a strong defence, conceding just 0.7 goals on average over 25 matches, and are unbeaten in their last 13 league games.

Given both teams’ tendency to draw and Universitario’s reliable defence, this game might end in a stalemate. Our recommended bet is a draw.

Don’t miss this match on 14 September 2025, as it will surely add another interesting chapter to this season’s narrative.

FBC Melgar vs Universitario de Deportes Prediction & Betting tip

For the upcoming clash between FBC Melgar and Universitario de Deportes, our recommended bet is a Draw. Here’s why:

FBC Melgar vs Universitario de Deportes Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Draw	2.97

Why this tip is a good choice:

• Team Form and Performance: Melgar has shown a strong tendency towards draws, accumulating 10 so far this season. Their recent record (DDLWD) includes 3 draws in the last 5 matches. Universitario, though in better form (WLDDD), has also seen their share of draws.
• Defensive Strength: Universitario’s defence has been rock-solid, conceding only 16 goals this season. This suggests a low-scoring game, enhancing the chances of a draw.
• Statistical Support: Melgar’s matches often see both teams score, but Universitario’s defensive prowess and the impact of key injuries on both sides may result in fewer goals, making a draw a statistically supported outcome.

This match, scheduled for 14 September 2025, promises to be an intense battle and a draw could be the most likely scenario.

FBC Melgar vs Universitario de Deportes Odds

When it comes to the betting odds for this intriguing Primera Division clash between FBC Melgar and Universitario de Deportes, it’s fascinating to see how the bookmakers have set their predictions. Remarkably, they regard Melgar as the favorites despite being in 8th position and facing the league leaders.

FBC Melgar vs Universitario de Deportes Betting Odds
Home Win	2.26
Draw	2.97
Away Win	3.18

Melgar’s odds of winning at 2.26 reflect some optimism from the bookmakers, potentially due to their home advantage and resilient draws in recent matches. The draw, given at 2.97, is a solid bet due to both teams’ recent tendencies towards stalemates and defensive solidity. Lastly, Universitario, despite being the top team, have a longer shot at 3.18, potentially influenced by their key injuries.

These odds underscore the unpredictable nature of this matchup, making it one for the fans to eagerly anticipate.

FBC Melgar Team Analysis

FBC Melgar Recent Performance

• Asociación Deportiva Tarma 2-2 FBC Melgar (24 August 2025)
• FBC Melgar 2-1 Ayacucho FC (17 August 2025)
• Sporting Cristal 1-0 FBC Melgar (10 August 2025)
• FBC Melgar 1-1 ADC Juan Pablo II (5 August 2025)
• Alianza Atlético 0-0 FBC Melgar (1 August 2025)

Recent Form: DDLWD

FBC Melgar’s recent performances have been a mix of resilience and frustration. Their 2-2 draw against Asociación Deportiva Tarma and a 2-1 victory over Ayacucho FC highlight their ability to score, with an average of 1.00 goals per game in their last five matches. However, their failure to secure clean sheets consistently, only achieving one in the last five outings, reveals defensive vulnerabilities.

This mixed form (DDLWD) shows they have the potential, but inconsistency has kept them in 8th position. As they prepare for this key encounter, Melgar will need to tighten their defence and capitalize on scoring opportunities to improve their standings.

FBC Melgar Key Players

Key players for FBC Melgar in this clash against Universitario de Deportes include their top scorer, Jhonny Vidales, who has netted 3 goals this season. Vidales’ suspension means that much responsibility will fall on the shoulders of Bernardo Cuesta, who joins Cristián Bordacahar in the attack.

The midfield trio of Alexis Arias, Walter Tandazo, and Horacio Orzán will need to orchestrate play effectively to break down Universitario’s well-organized defense. In defense, the partnership between Pier Barrios and Alec Deneumostier remains crucial in maintaining solidity.

Expected lineup for FBC Melgar:

• Goalkeeper: Carlos Enrique Cáceda
• Defenders: Matias Lazo, Pier Barrios, Alec Deneumostier, Mathias Llontop
• Midfielders: Alexis Arias, Walter Tandazo, Horacio Orzán, Jhamir D’Arrigo
• Forwards: Cristian Bordacahar, Bernardo Cuesta

With extensive injuries plaguing both teams, FBC Melgar will look to their key players to make a significant impact on the game.

FBC Melgar Suspensions & Injuries

FBC Melgar will face some challenges due to key absences in their squad for the upcoming clash against Universitario de Deportes. Notably, their top scorer Jhonny Vidales is suspended following a red card and will miss this crucial match. Additionally, they are dealing with multiple injuries that could impact their performance.

• Juan Muñoz (Muscle Injury) – Potential return: Late September 2025
• Diego Rodríguez (Muscle Injury) – Potential return: Late September 2025
• Nelson Cabanillas (Muscle Injury) – Potential return: Late September 2025

These absences put pressure on players like Bernardo Cuesta and Cristian Bordacahar to step up and lead the attack. The team will also rely heavily on their midfield and defensive units to sustain their form. With their depth being tested, Melgar will need a collective effort to secure points in this crucial match.

FBC Melgar Tactics and Formation

FBC Melgar’s game plan typically revolves around a 4-4-2 formation, emphasising both defensive stability and attacking width. Here’s a closer look at their tactical approach:

FBC Melgar Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forwards: Bernardo Cuesta and Cristián Bordacahar
• Midfield Quartet: Alexis Arias, Walter Tandazo, Horacio Orzán, and Jhamir D’Arrigo
• Defensive Strength: Averaging 1 clean sheet in the last five games
• Scoring Pattern: Most goals scored in the 76-90-minute interval

Melgar aims to control the midfield with a solid core of Arias, Tandazo, and Orzán, who serve as the engine of the team. The attacking duo of Cuesta and Bordacahar pose a significant threat in the final third, while their defence, led by Pier Barrios and Alec Deneumostier, must remain compact and organized.

In this key matchup against Universitario, Melgar will need to focus on their strengths while being wary of their opponents’ solid defense.

Universitario de Deportes Team Analysis

Universitario de Deportes Recent Performance

• Universitario de Deportes 0-0 Alianza Lima (24 August 2025)
• Palmeiras 0-0 Universitario de Deportes (22 August 2025)
• Sport Huancayo 1-1 Universitario de Deportes (17 August 2025)
• Universitario de Deportes 0-4 Palmeiras (15 August 2025)
• Universitario de Deportes 1-0 Sport Boys (9 August 2025)

Recent Form: WLDDD

Universitario de Deportes have displayed defensive prowess in their recent performances, with 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches. They have a solid backline that has helped them remain unbeaten in their last 13 league games. Their average goals scored in the last 5 matches is 0.40, which highlights their struggle to find the net lately.

Despite drawing three games on the trot (Alianza Lima, Palmeiras, and Sport Huancayo), their top position in the league standings shows the consistency in their defence. Their strong form (WLDDD) and recent performances will be pivotal as they face FBC Melgar, aiming to sustain their lead in the Primera Division.

Universitario de Deportes Key Players

Key players for Universitario de Deportes in the matchup against FBC Melgar include their top scorer, Alex Valera, who has netted 3 goals this season despite being sidelined with a muscle injury. This absence means extra responsibility will lie with forwards like Diego Churín and José Rivera to lead the attack.

The midfield trio of Martin Pérez Guedes, Jesus Castillo, and Jairo Concha will be crucial in both offensive plays and defensive duties. Their primary task will be to break down Melgar’s defense and provide service to the forwards.

In defence, the experienced Matias Di Benedetto and Anderson Santamaría must remain solid to support goalkeeper Sebastián Britos.

Expected lineup for Universitario de Deportes:

• Goalkeeper: Sebastián Britos
• Defenders: Hugo Ancajima, César Inga, Matias Di Benedetto, Anderson Santamaría, José Joel Carabalí
• Midfielders: Martin Pérez Guedes, Jesus Castillo, Jairo Concha
• Forwards: Diego Churín, José Rivera

These key players will be pivotal as Universitario aims to maintain their top spot in the league.

Universitario de Deportes Suspensions & Injuries

Universitario de Deportes enter this match with a significant number of key players sidelined due to injuries, which could impact their overall performance.

• Rodrigo Ureña (Calf Injury) – Potential return: Late September 2025
• Alex Valera (Muscle Injury) – Potential return: Late September 2025
• Edison Flores (Muscle Injury) – Potential return: Late September 2025
• Andy Polo (Muscle Injury) – Potential return: Late September 2025

The absence of their top scorer, Alex Valera, is particularly noteworthy. This means increased responsibility for the remaining forwards like Diego Churín and José Rivera. Additionally, the midfield and defense will need to be at their best to compensate for these losses. These injuries might level the playing field against Melgar, a team also dealing with its own set of challenges.

Universitario de Deportes Tactics and Formation

Universitario de Deportes will look to maintain their strong defensive record in this match, utilizing a well-structured 5-3-2 formation which has been effective for them this season.

Universitario de Deportes Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 5-3-2
• Key Forwards: Diego Churín and José Rivera
• Midfield Trio: Martin Pérez Guedes, Jesus Castillo, Jairo Concha
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in their last five games
• Strategy: Focus on tight defensive play and counter-attacks

Despite multiple injuries, Universitario tends to stay solid at the back, with players like Matias Di Benedetto and Anderson Santamaría providing the necessary defensive cover in front of goalkeeper Sebastián Britos. The five-at-the-back system allows them to fortify their defence while still enabling quick transitions to attack through wing-backs Hugo Ancajima and José Joel Carabalí. Maintaining high discipline and maximizing counter-attacks will be crucial for them to secure a favourable outcome against FBC Melgar.

FBC Melgar vs Universitario de Deportes Head-to-Head Statistics

Looking at the recent head-to-head encounters between FBC Melgar and Universitario de Deportes, the away team has held the upper hand.

• 2025-04-14: Universitario de Deportes 4-1 FBC Melgar (Liga 1 Apertura)
• 2024-08-01: FBC Melgar 1-0 Universitario de Deportes (Liga 1 Clausura)
• 2024-02-18: Universitario de Deportes 2-0 FBC Melgar (Liga 1 Apertura)
• 2023-08-06: FBC Melgar 0-1 Universitario de Deportes (Liga 1 Clausura)
• 2023-03-05: Universitario de Deportes 1-0 FBC Melgar (Liga 1 Apertura)

Recent Form: Universitario has dominated most encounters, winning 4 out of the last 5 meetings. Melgar has managed only one win, which came at home. Universitario’s defensive organization and ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities have been crucial factors in their dominance. FBC Melgar will be keen to improve their head-to-head record and will likely focus on their home advantage to disrupt Universitario’s momentum.

Odds accurate as of 09/12/2025 21:05, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.